Land Change Modeler for ArcGIS Software Extension (2.0)

Web_esri_bp The Land Change Modeler for ArcGIS software extension is an innovative land planning and decision support tool. With an automated, user-friendly workflow, Land Change Modeler for ArcGIS simplifies the complexities of change analysis, resource management and habitat assessment. Land Change Modeler for ArcGIS provides a start-to-finish solution for your land change analysis needs.

Land Change Modeler for ArcGIS is compatible only with ArcGIS 10.2 or later. The Land Change Modeler tool set is also available within the TerrSet software.

Product Features | System Requirements

With the Land Change Modeler Extension, users can:

  • Quickly map land change and trends
  • Rapidly model future land change scenarios
  • Assess habitat risk and species impacts
  • Model species distribution and biodiversity
  • Perform REDD analysis for the estimation of carbon emissions from deforestation
  • Generate biological corridor designs
  • Develop reserve selection and design scenarios
Land Change Modeler for ArcGIS Brochure
  • Land Change Modeler for ArcGIS Extension

    The Land Change Modeler for ArcGIS Extension is an innovative land planning and decision support software tool that is critical for smart development, biodiversity conservation and the management of climate mitigation strategies such as REDD (Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and forest Degradation). The Land Change Modeler for ArcGIS extension analyzes historical land cover data to assess, model and predict land cover change using powerful machine learning procedures.

  • Land Change Modeler for ArcGIS Trend Analysis

    Land Change Modeler provides a utility for mapping the spatial trend of change, a very useful abstraction tool in areas of complex change. Polynomial trend surfaces up to the 9th order can be mapped. In this example, the spatial trend of change is mapped from all land cover categories to residential land cover. Areas in red exhibit the greater amount of change between 1985 and 1999.

Land Change Modeler for ArcGIS Product Features

Widely used for the prioritization of conservation and planning efforts, Land Change Modeler for ArcGIS allows you to rapidly analyze land cover change, simulate future land change scenarios, model REDD emission scenarios, and model species impacts and biodiversity.

Land Change Analysis

  • Quickly generate graphs and maps of land change, including gains and losses, net change, persistence and specific transitions.
  • Uncover underlying trends of complex land change with a change abstraction tool.

Model Land Transition Potential

  • Model land cover transition potentials that express the likelihood that land will transition in the future using one of three methodologies—a multi-layer perceptron neural network with full reporting on the explanatory power of driver variables, logistic regression, and SimWeight, a modified machine-learning procedure.
  • Incorporate into the prediction model dynamic or static environmental variable maps that might drive or explain change.

Change Prediction

  • Incorporate planning interventions, incentives and constraints, such as reserve areas and infrastructural changes, that may alter the course of development in the change prediction process.
  • Conduct scenario mapping by creating either a hard prediction map based on a multi-objective land competition model with a single realization or a soft prediction map that is a continuous map of vulnerability to change.
  • Validate the quality of the prediction land cover map in relation to a map of reality. Through a 3-way crosstabulation, hits, misses, and false alarms are reported.

REDD Analysis

  • Evaluate REDD related forest conservation strategies and carbon impact scenarios with full GHG emission impact accounting.
  • Assess additionality of REDD projects and business-as-usual projection scenarios.

Impact Analysis

  • Assess the effect of land cover change on habitat including habitat status and assessment, habitat change analysis, gap analysis, and landscape pattern analysis.
  • Perform species distribution modeling and the refinement of species range polygon maps. An interface to Maxent is available.
  • Calculate biodiversity through mapping of alpha diversity, gamma diversity, beta diversity, Sorensen’s dissimilarity, and range restriction.

Land Planning

  • Generate biological corridor designs that are optimized for habitat suitability, ecological significance and protection status.
  • Develop reserve selection and design scenarios using an interface to Marxan, a conservation planning tool.

Land Change Modeler for ArcGIS System Requirements

The Land Change Modeler software is intended for professional-level planning on platforms employing the Microsoft® Windows operating system and the ESRI® ArcGIS® software. Any Windows system that supports ArcGIS 10.2 or later can run Land Change Modeler, although Windows 7 or above is recommended. 500 MB of hard disk space is required.